Hi there,
Regarding a release date I believe (as I've done some research), that the Nintendo Cross as I am lovingly calling it... will be released in 2024 in the first quarter, between March 15th in the morning (Sensho Day), and April 19th/2024 in the morning (Sensho day). My reasoning behind this is historically, the Consoles ARE released on a Friday. The ones that weren't were not as popular but still popular.
If Nintendo is going for a holiday preorder release, their best days are:
The 11th of October (Taian day: lucky all day)
The 25th of October (Sensho day: Lucky all morning)
The 8th of November (Taian day: lucky all day)
The 22nd of November (Sensho day: Lucky all morning)
but I don't see it coming in December because they would want the holiday month free for shipping.
As for an actual release in Holidays 2024, I'd say: The 13th of December so Orders can ship on time, though unlikely given shipping delays.
As for the announcement, it should happen 6 months before the release date in the Nintendo Direct Video, which makes either September 13th or 20th 2023 or June 6th or 12th or 20th or 26th / 2024 the most likely Directs for announcement, as they land on Wed or Thurs.
Given that June has too many possibilities, I'd say we'll have it by March or April 2024 most likely, but I'd be surprised for a Holiday Announcement.
Source 1 see :
https://www.seiyaku.com/customs/rokuyo.php (see
REF 1: March 3rd/2017 nintendo switch released (Sensho Day: Lucky in morning)
REF 2: September 20th/ 2019 switch lite released (Taian Day: Lucky all day)
REF 3: October 8th / 2021 OLED Released (Sensho Day: Lucky in morning)