Internet an "Unreliable Toy" by 2012

[pocketdrummer]

"the old structure--originally designed by British scientist Sir Tim Berners-Lee"

What?

 

[JohnMD1022]

1. The Mayans were getting the next issue of the calendar in shape for publication when the Spanish invaded in 1519. The girls were being scheduled for the photos.
2. The Bill of Rights is the first ten Amendments to the Constitution. Nothing can be added or subtracted to them. They can be repealed by amendment, but they cannot be changed. If you wish to see an example of this, see Amendment XXI. It repeals Amendment XVIII. But note that Amendment XVIII is still there.

 

[formin]

hummmmmmm.....
i thought the 70 bucks a month i pay for internet was supposed to go into upgrading and maintaining the infrastructure, not the CEO's pocket.
and i doubt very highly that people are canceling their internet service because of the recession.

 

[Guest]

The end of the world is the 21st of December 2012, NOT the 24th.

 

[abstross]

Is this part of the Time Warner "reeducation" program?

 

[abstross]

Is this part of the Time Warner "re-education" program?

 

[salsoolo]

"What makes matters worse is that consumer demand grows an average 60-percent a year. Why? Supposedly, sites such as YouTube, Hulu and hordes of other bandwidth-hungry websites are to blame."

how about f***** upgrade networks and build more backbones. rather than sitting on the money or the gold mine

 

[salsoolo]

"What makes matters worse is that consumer demand grows an average 60-percent a year. Why? Supposedly, sites such as YouTube, Hulu and hordes of other bandwidth-hungry websites are to blame."

how about f***** upgrade networks and build more backbones. rather than sitting on the money or the gold mine

 

[bgd73]

of course the engineers will keep up. I remember 2000's internet and do miss it. Even a 56k modem returned a search worth reading about.

 

[D2ModPlayer]

Maybe they shouldn't have published the article online, just in case it creates more online traffic? I don't see how it's a problem. People are smart enough where if this becomes a major problem, not the ISP's, but the servers with online content will limit download speeds. Then all of a sudden the internet works again!

Perhaps warnings of impending DooM is enough to stop it. This is the first step towards making sure it's not a problem.

Cable service providers will love this one. Check to see if the people who came out with this research are being paid by majority ISP's.

 

[tritter]

Please read the source report before dismissing the research. Nemertes is explicit that the fiber, core and metro layers of the Internet will scale to meet all projected demand. The challenge is the last mile where potential demand is growing faster than capacity. Unfortunately, misquotes and sensationalism grab readers. The reality is the only people that really know how fast demand is growing are the ISPs and they don't share those numbers. That is why we built a model to project potential demand against supply. The report and FAQ are available for free:

FAQ: http://nemertes.com/internet_infrastructure_study_2009_frequently_asked_questions_faq

Report: http://www.nemertes.com/studies/internet_interrupted_why_architectural_limitations_will_fracture_net

Thanks,
Ted Ritter
Nemertes Research

 

[FSXFan]

"Currently ISPs are frantically spending billions to replace old hardware"

....Or is it more like "Currently ISPs are spending thousands at their leisure to replace old hardware"?

 

[blasko229]

brownout? gross

 

[jkflipflop98]

I predict that in 2012 we will transmit data in a quantum fashion via atmospheric ions. Bandwidth will be unlimited for all.

The internet will perform like a raped ape on meth. You can quote me on that.

 

[Kami3k]

Oh wow, someone from Nemertes Research to clear things up. Thanks for doing so.

Oh and sk tsk TG, tsk tsk, for making a big deal out of essentially nothing.

 

[norbs]

This is just part of the ploy to let ISP put a cap on downloads and can get more profit because they have less to invest in upgrades...
Honestly this "Internet Doomsday" thing can be fixed with a flick of a switch. I hope no one pays this "think tank"...

 

[scryer_360]

Looks like after Time Warner Cable couldn't put a bandwidth cap in, they hired Nemertes to try and back up their claims. If the increased usage brought so many additional costs onboard, then why is it that ISP's operating costs are flat, not increasing?

There is a real physical barrier to the Internet: their are only so many addresses that can exist. But that mark has been in existence since the Internet was created, and work to change that has been ongoing for a decade.

Really, the problem is that more capacity needs added. I just wish someone would run an piece on how TWC and its ilk are just buying crap research like this though.

 

[Zingam]

That's it NO INTERNET = NO WORLD.... damn those Mayans were so right!

 

[Zingam]

I just want to warn the world: PEOPLE DOWNLOAD YOUR PORN WHILE YOU STILL CAN!

 

[cyb34]

The Internet is the business of the age. No one will let it die. It could finally get upgraded or changed to Supernet, the cash cow needs feeding.