I don't like that broken glass effect. It's like lens flare, overused and can't take your eye off of it once noticed.
Usually you want your box art to be distinctive from the previous versions. This makes it easier on parents buying games for brats. Nintendo has mastered this (Pokemon games organized by color, couldn't be simpler). This probably wont cause anything noticeable in terms of sales but you want new games to be new and give the impression that it will be better than the previous game.
Anyone find the girl creepier than the Big Daddy?