[citation][nom]killerclick[/nom]And every guy that likes to get his balls stomped on by a dominatrix says it's the best feeling ever. There's only one thing Microsoft needs to know about the Metro-skinned Windows Phone 7... after 18 months it barely has 1.5% usage share. It couldn't have failed harder. So a few people that have Windows phones say they are great, which makes sense, otherwise why buy them?The market has spoken and Microsoft needs to let go of its ridiculous dream of doing on the mobile what it had done on the desktop. They fixation is hurting the future of desktop Windows and it's hurting Microsoft.[/citation]
1.5% is due to a few very reasonable explanations:
1) wp7 was a first gen smartphone OS... would you buy a 1st gen android phone today? of course not, it lacks the development and feature sets of it's competition. 7.5 brought the OS up to speed with modern features, and I think wp8 will finally bring some innovation to the market instead of just playing catchup. But just having a 2nd revion name of wp8 will help sales because it will not be viewed as 'beta' software.
2) Price per specs vs price per experience. If someone is comparing 2 phones of the same price, and one has a duel core 1.4GHz cpu and 1GB of ram, while the other has a single 1GHz CPU with 512MB of ram which would they buy? Sure the wp7 phone acts just as fast, but with the specs so far lower it is a hard justification for people. Also, with the cheaper hardware set the phones should cost less, but they are saying that the experience is the same so the price should be the same, and that is not an easy sell in a hardware conscious market.
3) wp7 sold better than iPhone or Android's first gen phones when comparing unit sales instead of percentages, but when the competition has a 5 year head start then it takes a little while to make a dent in the market percentages.
4) wp8 is right around the corner. So do you buy a smartphone today? or wait ~3-4months for something much better?
5) It has taken business a while to vet wp7, and they are just now beginning to use them. With the network improvements with wp8 I think most business phones will move over to the windows side
6) The first 'good' fully featured wp7 phones were just released in the last month, without a flagship to follow (like the iPhone for iOS, or Droid for android) then the whole market line suffers. Now with the high end Nokia phones there is something to own with pride, and with that will follow the masses on the cheaper phones because if they cannot afford the hardware they at least want the software that is on the high end phone.
7) It takes a little bit for the market to develop and get some good (lol, or at least popular) apps, and I think the wp market is finally reaching that point (God I hope wp8 x86 will support real desktop applications! *crosses fingers*)
8) While carriers have supplied wp7 phones they have always pushed apple and android phones while downplaying wp7. It does not matter what the corporate stance is if the individual employees are pushing only specific products. Now employees are beginning to push wp7, so there will be a big uptick in sales.
Personally I think we will see iPhone continuing to sell well as it has a firm market base, and really has a solid product at the moment (though it does not fit my tastes). Android will begin to fall to wp7/8 and win8 tablets, but retain the 'geek phone' modder market. wp8 will become the defacto phone for business use, power users (though not modders), and could sweep the value market if more devices like the 710 become available from other manufacturers. The mass market will stay on android for another generation or two because it is what they are use to, but will switch as more interoperability with their PCs becomes available/desirable.