[citation][nom]therabiddeer[/nom]Well, we should be getting the next gen consoles in a couple of years though, right? I mean, sure phones have gone fast in tech, but current consoles are 6 years old now... and hell, smartphones without a contract cost more than a console anyway.[/citation]
iphone costs about 200$ in parts, im betting either console costs more still.
[citation][nom]pocketdrummer[/nom]I doubt it. Even with new tech coming out for phones, I don't think they can get the power that high and keep the power usage low enough to reach that level any time soon. Unless, of course, they start making iPad sized "smartphones".Apart from that, why do we care what John Carmack thinks again?[/citation]
for 1, he made doom, and he is basically a savant when it comes to computer code.
two, if we are just talking about graphics alone without all the background s@%& than cellphones will be about as powerfull as a console in 2 years time, possibly more. from what i am hearing about the psv, its god ps3 quality with uncharted.
[citation][nom]MasterMace[/nom]Therabiddeer: No. Microsoft and Sony have both stated that the 360 and PS3 are only 1/2way thru their life cycles.To be honest, their reasoning is justified considering software takes so long to develop. What companies are going to have to do is make much larger design teams to keep up with the pace of gaming. 4 year development cycles? What is that? Movies are made faster. If it takes longer than a year, it's not going to fly.[/citation]
they say that, however the same was said about ps2, and 6 years into its cycle out came the ps3, and for years after that, at e3, the ps2 was mentioned.
just because a console has a 10 year plan, doesn't mean its an uncontested 10 year plan.
and it wasn't a decision based on games taking time to develop, it was a factor of diminishing returns. we are only currently coming close to where we will see a tech level up, not just in terms of true 1080p, sharper textures, and the like, but in terms of raw, we couldn't fake this kind of tech.
you know the term fake it till you make it? dx9 could do everything that 10 can do, you just have to be creative. only with 11 is there something 9 cant fake, im guessing that it will take untill dx12 before there is a real visual leap, that you cant just say "this is a good looking dxXX game" no, you will have no doubt in your mind, that it was a 12 game.